North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #23
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #10
Noblesville Regional Rank #7
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.5%
Advance to State Finals 3.8%
Advance to Semi-State 7.1%
Advance to Regional 99.6%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 337 355 300 291 661 294 320 367 355 331
Team Adjusted Rating 355 300 291 337 294 320 367 355 331
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
113  Ellen Baker 11 19:48 20:00 19:42 19:38 19:36 19:49 19:50 19:55 19:48 19:59
153  Lauren Botts 9 20:03 20:08 19:44 20:06 19:54 20:00 20:24 20:02 20:04
163  Rahiwa Tezera 10 20:06 20:19 20:00 20:00 19:48 20:02 20:00 20:44 20:09
234  Sophia Tipmore 9 20:24 21:12 20:18 19:49 20:01 20:05 21:04 20:36 20:20
254  Margot Grotland 9 20:30 20:02 20:13 20:11 20:30 20:30 20:52 20:43 20:31
280  Mary Edwards 9 20:34 20:43 20:21 20:22 21:10 21:13 20:38 20:15 20:22
303  Jane Hirschman 12 20:39 20:59 20:30 20:49 20:48 20:37 20:30 20:39
399  Gabby Green 12 20:59 21:00 20:36 20:51 21:03 21:04 21:12
458  Emma Vatnsdal 9 21:10 20:55 21:08 21:51 20:48 21:22 21:07
504  Anna Youtsey 9 21:20 21:23 21:30 21:04 21:21 21:25 21:20
551  Aranshi Tezera 12 21:30 21:56 21:30 21:20 21:48 21:12
649  Raionce Rodney 10 21:44 22:25 21:44 21:31 21:41 21:55 21:35
675  Caleigh Brewer 12 21:48 21:49 21:42 21:43 21:44 22:04
751  Margaret Robinson 12 21:57 21:59
776  Mia Rivas 9 22:01 21:04 21:52 21:18 21:54 23:10 22:27
802  Adrianne Jackson 10 22:05 22:20 21:20 21:23 22:48 21:51 23:01
828  Zoe Munn 10 22:08 22:20 21:56 21:51 22:25
923  Reagan Shaar 10 22:20 21:05 23:08 22:29 22:19 22:17
1,030  Ellen Osterman 10 22:34 23:00 22:16 22:29 22:26 22:52
1,065  Eleanor Hostetler 9 22:38 22:52 22:14 22:39 23:12 22:10 22:48
1,240  Jaida Sanders 12 23:00 23:14 23:05 23:11 22:41
1,266  Micah Taylor 9 23:03 23:47 22:21 23:14 23:50 22:48 22:54
Jacquelyn Harvey 12 23:35 23:45 23:48 23:20
Claudia Lausch 9 23:43 23:50 23:13 23:55 23:46
Emily Eder 10 24:40 23:31 24:18 25:10 25:08 24:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 3.8% 11.3 320 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2
Semi-State 7.1% 6.4 189 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 2.1 1.1 0.2
Regionals 99.6% 7.0 167 0.4 1.9 4.9 22.7 31.3 38.3 0.3
Sectionals 100% 4.2 92 0.5 3.1 9.6 54.7 31.7 0.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 5.0% 72.0 1.2% 1.6%
Lauren Botts 3.9% 91.0 0.1% 0.1%
Rahiwa Tezera 3.9% 93.8 0.1% 0.2%
Sophia Tipmore 3.8% 121.5 0.0% 0.0%
Margot Grotland 3.8% 128.3 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Edwards 3.8% 135.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jane Hirschman 3.8% 139.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 74.6% 44.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.6 72.6% 74.4%
Lauren Botts 34.5% 52.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 29.5% 32.8%
Rahiwa Tezera 27.1% 54.0 0.1 0.1 21.5% 24.2%
Sophia Tipmore 8.7% 61.0 1.7% 2.7%
Margot Grotland 8.0% 66.7 0.9% 1.2%
Mary Edwards 7.3% 71.1 0.2% 0.3%
Jane Hirschman 7.1% 72.0 0.0% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 100% 27.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.2 4.6 4.1 4.5 5.0 100.0% 100.0%
Lauren Botts 100% 34.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.3 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 36.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 43.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Margot Grotland 100% 46.7 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Mary Edwards 100% 48.7 100.0% 100.0%
Jane Hirschman 100% 50.5 0.1 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Baker 12.4 0.3 0.6 1.2 3.0 4.5 9.6 12.8 13.6 12.5 10.8 8.6 6.5 6.1 4.0 2.8 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1
Lauren Botts 16.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 3.7 4.2 7.0 9.2 11.5 10.6 10.5 9.2 8.0 8.1 5.7 2.9 2.4 1.5 1.3
Rahiwa Tezera 17.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.5 2.3 3.9 5.1 7.2 8.9 10.2 9.3 11.3 10.9 8.3 5.9 4.5 3.9 2.5 1.3
Sophia Tipmore 22.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.7 3.3 5.4 6.7 8.1 8.7 10.7 10.3 9.0 8.5
Margot Grotland 23.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 2.2 2.6 4.9 4.8 7.2 8.2 9.4 9.3 10.3
Mary Edwards 25.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.4 2.5 3.3 4.9 6.9 7.0 8.0 8.9
Jane Hirschman 27.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.6 2.2 4.0 5.3 6.9 8.6